The idea for this comes from predictit, a futures trading (gambling) site hosted by a university in New Zealand that let’s you bet real money on US elections. Basically, a person offers a contract saying something like, I think there is a 5% chance that Dwayne ‘the Rock’ Johnson will be elected president in 2024. Another person looks at that contract and says “easy money”, I’ll bet $95 bucks against your $5 bucks… and when Dwayne ‘the Rock’ Johnson is elected in 2024 via his newly formed 3rd party, the Whigs 2, the second person pays the first person $95. Do you smell-l-l-l-l-l-l-l-l-l-l-l-l-l…what the Rock is cooking?
The hypothesis behind prediction markets is that they are more accurate than polls and have even been used to predict obscure stuff like when the Higg’s boson was to be discovered.
So, just some fun examples I was imagining we’d be doing with mock money and a leaderboard would be elections, when will DMS re-open, will the membership count be more than such and such by said date. Anyways, just wondering if this sounds fun or interesting to anybody else wanting to play on the most basic, bare bones site I could throw together…but also, don’t bet on it happening anytime soon soon.