I have had a fondness of electronics and robotics since I was 9 (52 now). I was pondering where we will be in 20 years so I took a look backwards.
Here is an interesting graph that kinda sorta proves Moore’s law, or maybe disproves it (actually it’s 2 years not 1 year)
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/0/00/Transistor_Count_and_Moore's_Law_-_2011.svg
https://www.google.com/search?q=moores+law&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8
Looking back 20 years, the number of transistors on a processor has grown by a factor of 2,600. That’s pretty fascinating.
Imagine the processing power 20 years from now. Not only the number of transistors, but you also have die size shrinking. Other interesting comparisons:
The computer on the Apollo space craft weight 70 pounds and had 64kb of memory.
The Cray 1 super computer ran at 80mhz
Apple’s Iphone 5s (76 gflops) is 574% faster than IBM’s Deep Blue super computer of 1996.
( In June 1997, Deep Blue was the 259th most powerful supercomputer according to the TOP500 list, achieving 11.38 GFLOPS).
It will be an interesting next 20 years for sure!
Do you plan to get a Robotic Assistant? Open a Robot Repair Shop? Sell Robot Accessories? Imagine the industries that will spring up…