Humanoid robots in our lifetime

I have had a fondness of electronics and robotics since I was 9 (52 now). I was pondering where we will be in 20 years so I took a look backwards.

Here is an interesting graph that kinda sorta proves Moore’s law, or maybe disproves it (actually it’s 2 years not 1 year)

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/0/00/Transistor_Count_and_Moore's_Law_-_2011.svg

https://www.google.com/search?q=moores+law&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8

Looking back 20 years, the number of transistors on a processor has grown by a factor of 2,600. That’s pretty fascinating.

Imagine the processing power 20 years from now. Not only the number of transistors, but you also have die size shrinking. Other interesting comparisons:

The computer on the Apollo space craft weight 70 pounds and had 64kb of memory.
The Cray 1 super computer ran at 80mhz
Apple’s Iphone 5s (76 gflops) is 574% faster than IBM’s Deep Blue super computer of 1996.
( In June 1997, Deep Blue was the 259th most powerful supercomputer according to the TOP500 list, achieving 11.38 GFLOPS).

It will be an interesting next 20 years for sure!
Do you plan to get a Robotic Assistant? Open a Robot Repair Shop? Sell Robot Accessories? Imagine the industries that will spring up…

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I am interested in this, in particular (from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moore’s_law): Most semiconductor industry forecasters, including Gordon Moore, expect Moore’s law will end by around 2025.

The rest of the section talks about fundamental physical limits for transistor miniaturization, e.g. sub-atomic distances/sizes, that are quickly being approached. Will be very interesting to see what, if any, technological advances or discoveries might happen that allow the exponential progression of computing power to continue beyond these barriers.

Read about tri-gate transistors. Intel had to invent this technology because current transistor technology has some kind of current leakage at these extreme densities. Just thinking that the current desktop cpu die process is 22 nanometers geezus how do you make something that small…I expect we will experience a quantum leap in this process or technology that will change everything. Quantum computing on the desktop?